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Last week, we released a poll, by Change Research, of 887 registered CT Democrats who are likely to vote in August’s primary election between incumbent Governor Ned Lamont and progressive challenger, Josh Elliott. We encourage you to explore the detailed memo, toplines and crosstabs. For more coverage of our poll, see here. As Dan Haar wrote, the core finding is that Lamont is well ahead overall, but Elliott, who is expected to qualify for public financing in the next few day

Memorial Day Weekend kicked off summer and it seems, based on campaign text messages, that Josh Elliott has relaunched his gubernatorial campaign. He hasn’t quite qualified for public campaign financing, but he has a ballot line, a message and a political contrast. The Connecticut Democratic primary is scheduled for August 11 which gives Elliott a short runway from now. Does he have enough time, momentum and savvy to make that contrast mean something to Democratic primary vot

For Republicans, the Convention and the few weeks preceding it were both clarifying and strange. A week ago, it looked like the Convention would formalize a competitive race. Erin Stewart was still a major factor, Ryan Fazio was trying to prove he could consolidate enough support to compete, and Betsy McCaughey was trying to show there was still room for a more explicitly conservative lane. Instead, the primary ended before it started. Stewart suspended her campaign after a r

The State Conventions are behind us and the real campaigning is (maybe?) beginning. The convention answered ballot-access questions but opened a credibility test. Elliott gained a primary competition, but not yet proof of being a credible, statewide threat. Democrats left Hartford with a strong-on-paper incumbent, a validated protest vote, and a primary that is real — even if not yet especially competitive. As expected, Lamont won 1,468 delegates (75%) to 501 (25%) over Josh